Introduction to LoL Club Rankings

With 2018 LoL Worlds over, we’re now entering several months without a major League of Legends event to cover. StatXP covers the entirety of eSports and gaming but we’d like to keep our LoL coverage going. Inspired by FiveThirtyEight’s club soccer rankings, we’re going to spin our Elo model forward and keep a running ranking of professional LoL club teams.

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LoL Worlds 2018 Finals Predictions

And then there were two. After the chaos of the quarterfinal round, order re-emerged at the League of Legends Worlds this past weekend. Both Invictus Gaming and Fnatic won as expected and they both dismissed their overmatched opponents in straight games. We live-blogged both games using our in-game prediction model and neither team’s chances of advancing were ever really in doubt.

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LoL Worlds 2018 Semifinals Predictions

Who can honestly say they saw this coming? LoL Worlds are down to four teams and only one is a Chinese or Korean team. After a solid record of predictions in the group stage, the StatXP model missed on three of the four quarterfinal matchups. A quick look at which teams we missed biggest on in the group stage and quarterfinal games shows that our model consistently overrated China and Korean teams.

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What Happened to Flash Wolves?

StatXP’s first big project upon launching was our ongoing coverage of the 2018 League of Legend World Championships, built around our Elo model. So it was very important that the model do well! And far it has. We did have one huge miss in Flash Wolves. And it’s important to be upfront about your misses. FW was our #1 ranked team entering the tournament and we gave them a 24% chance of winning the whole thing. What happened?

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